A Kalshi trader wakes up at 6 a.m. and scrolls through thousands of prediction markets trying to find mispriced opportunities before heading to work. She spots a weather event market that looks interesting but can't verify the probability claims or find enough liquidity data before her commute starts. By the time she researches it properly, the edge is gone. Tenki scans 10,000+ active Kalshi markets overnight and drops 3-7 researched picks in her inbox by 7 a.m. ET, each with probability estimates, sourced bull and bear cases, and a "what kills this trade" factor so she can decide in minutes instead of hours.
The system filters out markets with under $5,000 volume and excludes dead markets plus sports combo contracts. Every pick shows up with direct Kalshi links and verifiable source citations. One example pick included 14 linked sources, 4 bull case factors, and 3 bear case factors. A live dashboard tracks how the AI's probability estimate compares to the actual market price in real time, so traders see when edges appear or disappear throughout the day.
A quantitative trader who normally builds models for S&P 500 options decides to try prediction markets. He needs structure. Tenki's full public track record shows every pick ever made, wins and losses included, with a 59% win rate visible upfront. The pipeline tracks outcomes from resolved markets and adjusts conviction thresholds over time based on what actually worked. He gets transparency instead of black box recommendations.
Tenki deliberately excludes efficiently priced markets where the crowd's already correct. A day trader who focuses on high-frequency moves won't find scalping opportunities here since Tenki delivers picks once per morning, not throughout the day. The research depth works for position traders willing to hold contracts for days or weeks, not for someone flipping markets every hour.
Someone running a $500,000 portfolio needs institutional-grade analysis with compliance documentation. Tenki explicitly states it's not financial advice, the creators aren't licensed advisors, and they don't manage money. It's a research service. Traders still need their own Kalshi account and make their own decisions. A professional who needs CYA documentation for a regulated fund won't get fiduciary coverage here.
The founders previously built companies that raised $78M+ and one worked at McKinsey, which matters for execution consistency but doesn't guarantee pick accuracy. A skeptic checking the track record sees losses published alongside wins, which is rarer than it should be in the prediction market newsletter space.
Someone trading on Polymarket or PredictIt can't use this. It only covers Kalshi, the CFTC-regulated prediction market platform. The integration is direct links to specific Kalshi contracts, nothing else. A crypto prediction market trader gets zero value.
Runs $12 per month with a 14-day free trial and cancellation anytime. A trader spending $50-$200 per contract can recoup the subscription cost with one or two winning picks. Someone making $5 bets won't see ROI since the research depth targets traders deploying real capital. The trial period lets anyone test whether the picks match their trading style before paying.
Tenki works for Kalshi traders who want researched opportunities delivered consistently but don't have time to scan thousands of markets themselves. It breaks for high-frequency traders, non-Kalshi platforms, and anyone needing regulated financial advice instead of research services.
